HomeJournalsTBFLIVol. 1, Iss. 2Integrating AI and Econometrics for Equity Forecas
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Research ArticleTransactions on Banking, Finance, and Leadership Informatics

Volume 1, Issue 2 · 28 January 2025

ISSN: 3067-5804 · E-ISSN: 3067-5812

Integrating AI and Econometrics for Equity Forecasting: A Case Study on Apple and Microsoft Stocks

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Md Abdullah Al Mahmud:Faculty Member and Chairperson of MBA, International American University, Los Angeles, CA 90010, USA
Md Anikur Rahman:Cybersecurity Expert, Washington University, USA
Abdullah Al Masum:Department of Information Technology, Westcliff University, Irvine, CA 92614, USA
Md Kamruzzaman:Department of Computer Science, University of Texas at Dallas, Texas, 75080, USA
Article ID:tbfli25001

Abstract

Financial forecasting in the US stock market has traditionally relied on econometric models such as ARIMA, SARIMA, and GARCH, which offer interpretability and robust performance in stable environments. However, the increasing complexity and volatility of modern markets— driven by nonlinear dynamics and high-frequency trading—have exposed the limitations of these

Keywords

ARIMA-GARCH hybridstock modelspecifically Apple (AAPL) price predictionvolatility clustering
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Article Information

Received

16 June 2025

Accepted

1 July 2025

Published

28 January 2025

ISSN

3067-5804

E-ISSN

3067-5812

Article Type

Research Article

Open Access

Yes – Open Access